Week 19
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 19

Bologna – Genoa

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 36,462. City: Bologna. Opened: 1927. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Bologna
49%
Draws
27%
Genoa
24%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Bologna ↓ · Genoa →0123456
09.5%8.0%4.0%1.2%0.3%0.1%0.0%
112.8%Most Likely Result: 12.9%5.8%1.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
29.7%9.1%4.3%1.3%0.3%0.1%0.0%
34.8%4.5%2.1%0.7%0.2%0.0%0.0%
41.7%1.6%0.8%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
50.5%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 1 (12.9%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47 – 0.94
Expected Points
1.74 – 0.98
Both Teams to Score
47.2%
Over 2.5
43.1%
Under 2.5
56.9%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context is unavailable right now.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Bologna

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L

Genoa

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Bologna
6
Draws
6
Genoa
8

20 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Bologna finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 3 – 2Lat Genoa2025/26
  2. 2 – 1Wat Bologna2025/26
  3. 1 – 3Lat Bologna2024/25
  4. 2 – 2Dat Genoa2024/25
  5. 2 – 0Lat Genoa2023/24
  6. 1 – 1Dat Bologna2023/24
  7. 0 – 1Wat Genoa2021/22
  8. 2 – 2Dat Bologna2021/22
  9. 0 – 2Lat Bologna2020/21
  10. 2 – 0Lat Genoa2020/21

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made