Bologna – Monza

Score: Bologna 2, Monza 1

sab 31 ott, 15:00

Stadio Renato Dall'AraCapacity36,462CityBolognaOpened1927SurfaceGrass

Bologna

Monza

Match context

This fixture has produced 31 cards in the last 5 meetings.
Bologna haven't lost to Monza in their last 4 meetings (2W, 2D).
Monza have scored in 9 consecutive Serie A matches.
Bologna have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Bologna have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.

Our model favoured this result

Model vs result

We gave it 58%
Most likely scoreline was 1-1 · actual 2-1

Bologna: 58%
Draws: 23%
Monza: 19%

Limits of the forecast

Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

10Shots6
5On target4
4Big chances2
2.76Total xG1.70

BolognaxG and shot data: understat.comMonza

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goals over time

Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams	15'	30'	45'	60'	75'	90'	Total xG
Bologna	0.59	0.59	1.49	2.25	2.25	2.25	2.76
Monza	0.82	0.82	0.82	0.84	0.84	1.60	1.70

How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Shot locations for this match

BolognaMonza

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.