After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 7

Roma – Genoa

Score: Roma 2, Genoa 0

Stadio Olimpico (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 70,634. City: Rome. Opened: 1932. Surface: Grass.
Roma

Match context

  • Roma have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Roma have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
Our model favoured this result

Model vs result

We gave it 62%
Most likely scoreline was 1-0 · actual 2-0

Roma
62%
Draws
23%
Genoa
14%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 15Shots9
  • 6On target2
  • 1Big chances0
  • 1.47Total xG0.52

RomaxG and shot data: understat.comGenoa

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsRoma — 49'Roma — 67'1.470.52
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Roma0.000.370.430.581.231.431.47
Genoa0.170.170.340.450.480.520.52
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

RomaGenoa

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Gollini
Ndicka
Koulierakis
Balerdi
Rensch
1
Lulli
Roon
Pisilli
Malvano
Mora
1
Castro
Bijlow
Marcandalli
Vásquez
Østigård
Puczka
Ellertsson
Frendrup
Wiafe
Messias
Shaarawy
Osmajić
Roma· 3-4-2-1Genoa· 3-4-2-1

Head to Head

Roma
16
Draws
5
Genoa
2

23 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Roma finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 2 – 0Wat Roma2026/27
  2. 2 – 1Lat Genoa2025/26
  3. 3 – 1Wat Roma2025/26
  4. 3 – 1Wat Roma2024/25
  5. 1 – 1Dat Genoa2024/25
  6. 1 – 0Wat Roma2023/24
  7. 4 – 1Lat Genoa2023/24
  8. 0 – 0Dat Roma2021/22
  9. 0 – 2Wat Genoa2021/22
  10. 1 – 0Wat Roma2020/21

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made