After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 7

Bologna – Inter

Score: Bologna 1, Inter 3

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 36,462. City: Bologna. Opened: 1927. Surface: Grass.
Bologna

Match context

  • Inter have scored in 16 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Bologna have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Our model favoured this result

Model vs result

We gave it 58%
Most likely scoreline was 1-1 · actual 1-3

Bologna
19%
Draws
23%
Inter
58%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 11Shots17
  • 5On target9
  • 3Big chances6
  • 1.78Total xG3.78

BolognaxG and shot data: understat.comInter

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsBologna — 9'Inter — 43'Inter — 68'Inter — 82'1.783.78
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Bologna0.340.461.741.781.781.781.78
Inter0.070.520.871.353.263.783.78
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

BolognaInter

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Skorupski
Theate
Darmian
Casale
Miranda
Zortea
Ferguson
1
Pobega
Bernardeschi
Cambiaghi
Piccoli
Martínez
Bastoni
Akanji
Bisseck
Dimarco
Henrique
Barella
Sučić
Zielinski
Esposito
1
Thuram-Ulien
Bologna· 3-4-2-1Inter· 3-5-2

Head to Head

Bologna
5
Draws
5
Inter
13

23 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Bologna finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 3Lat Bologna2026/27
  2. 3 – 3Dat Bologna2025/26
  3. 3 – 1Lat Inter2025/26
  4. 1 – 0Wat Bologna2024/25
  5. 2 – 2Dat Inter2024/25
  6. 0 – 1Lat Bologna2023/24
  7. 2 – 2Dat Inter2023/24
  8. 1 – 0Wat Bologna2022/23
  9. 6 – 1Lat Inter2022/23
  10. 2 – 1Wat Bologna2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made