After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 8

Genoa – Venezia

Score: Genoa 1, Venezia 0

Stadio Luigi Ferraris (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 33,205. City: Genoa. Opened: 1911. Surface: Grass.
Genoa
Our model favoured this result

Model vs result

We gave it 49%
Most likely scoreline was 1-0 · exactly right

Genoa
49%
Draws
28%
Venezia
23%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 7Shots19
  • 4On target5
  • 1Big chances2
  • 0.78Total xG1.66

GenoaxG and shot data: understat.comVenezia

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsGenoa — 24'0.781.66
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Genoa0.290.310.710.710.760.780.78
Venezia0.000.370.381.231.441.521.66
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

GenoaVenezia

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Bijlow
Vásquez
Østigård
Otoa
Mitaj
1
Ellertsson
Traoré
Wiafe
Messias
Shaarawy
Osmajić
Stankovic
Jesus
Moreno
Halal
Haps
Hainaut
Pérez
Sohm
Basic
Adams
Yeboah
Genoa· 3-4-2-1Venezia· 3-5-2

Head to Head

Genoa
2
Draws
2
Venezia
1

5 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Genoa finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 0Wat Genoa2026/27
  2. 2 – 0Wat Genoa2024/25
  3. 2 – 0Lat Venezia2024/25
  4. 1 – 1Dat Venezia2021/22
  5. 0 – 0Dat Genoa2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made