After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 11

Parma – Bologna

Score: Parma 1, Bologna 2

Stadio Ennio Tardini (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 22,352. City: Parma. Opened: 1923. Surface: Grass.
Parma

Match context

  • Parma have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Bologna have scored in 6 consecutive Serie A matches.
Our model favoured this result

Model vs result

We gave it 45%
Most likely scoreline was 1-1 · actual 1-2

Parma
26%
Draws
29%
Bologna
45%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

Match statistics

Shot data for this match has not been ingested yet.

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

xG Trend

Shot data for this match has not been ingested yet.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Shot Map

Shot data for this match has not been ingested yet.

Head to Head

Parma
2
Draws
4
Bologna
5

11 Serie A meetings, 2018/19 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Parma finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 2Lat Parma2026/27
  2. 0 – 1Wat Bologna2025/26
  3. 1 – 3Lat Parma2025/26
  4. 2 – 0Wat Parma2024/25
  5. 0 – 0Dat Bologna2024/25
  6. 0 – 3Lat Parma2020/21
  7. 4 – 1Lat Bologna2020/21
  8. 2 – 2Dat Parma2019/20
  9. 2 – 2Dat Bologna2019/20
  10. 4 – 1Lat Bologna2018/19

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made