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 Week 31
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 31

Bologna – Venezia

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 36,462. City: Bologna. Opened: 1927. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Bologna
60%
Draws
24%
Venezia
15%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Bologna ↓ · Venezia →0123456
08.8%5.9%2.4%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%
1Most Likely Result: 14.1%11.3%4.1%1.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
212.6%9.4%3.5%0.9%0.2%0.0%0.0%
37.3%5.4%2.0%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
43.1%2.4%0.9%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
51.1%0.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 0 (14.1%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73 – 0.75
Expected Points
2.05 – 0.71
Both Teams to Score
43.8%
Over 2.5
45.0%
Under 2.5
55.0%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Bologna have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Bologna have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Bologna

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L

Venezia

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Bologna
2
Draws
0
Venezia
2

4 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2024/25. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Bologna finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 1Wat Venezia2024/25
  2. 3 – 0Wat Bologna2024/25
  3. 4 – 3Lat Venezia2021/22
  4. 0 – 1Lat Bologna2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made