Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 22
Cagliari – Parma
Unipol Domus (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 16,416. City: Cagliari. Opened: 2017. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Cagliari ↓ · Parma → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.3% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.6% | Most Likely Result: 13.8% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.8%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.21 – 1.01
- Expected Points
- 1.50 – 1.20
- Both Teams to Score
- 45.1%
- Over 2.5
- 38.3%
- Under 2.5
- 61.7%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Cagliari have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Cagliari haven't lost to Parma in their last 10 meetings (7W, 3D).
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Cagliari
- 8
- Draws
- 4
- Parma
- 1
13 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Cagliari finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.