After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 7

Monza – Cagliari

Score: Monza 4, Cagliari 0

U-Power Stadium (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 17,102. City: Monza. Opened: 1988. Surface: Grass.
Monza

Match context

  • Monza have scored in 6 consecutive Serie A matches.
Our model did not favour this result

Model vs result

We gave it 34%
Most likely scoreline was 1-1 · actual 4-0

Monza
34%
Draws
28%
Cagliari
38%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 14Shots16
  • 8On target5
  • 2Big chances3
  • 1.88Total xG2.73

MonzaxG and shot data: understat.comCagliari

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsMonza — 38'Monza — 46'Monza — 65'Monza — 78'1.882.73
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Monza0.020.080.630.831.121.751.88
Cagliari0.110.810.830.941.832.722.73
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

MonzaCagliari

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Törnqvist
Carboni
1
Kouadio
Goglichidze
Mangas
Birindelli
Akinsanmiro
Ondoa
Carvalho
1
Robinson
2
Varela
Caprile
Obert
Rodriguez
Mina
Figueiredo
Romano
Winks
Adopo
Maldini
Mendy
Nzola
Monza· 3-4-2-1Cagliari· 4-3-2-1

Head to Head

Monza
2
Draws
1
Cagliari
2

5 Serie A meetings, 2023/24 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Monza finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 4 – 0Wat Monza2026/27
  2. 3 – 0Lat Cagliari2024/25
  3. 1 – 2Lat Monza2024/25
  4. 1 – 0Wat Monza2023/24
  5. 1 – 1Dat Cagliari2023/24

Highlights

Video: official Serie A YouTube channel

Not playing? Serie A restricts these videos by country.Watch on YouTube ↗

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made