After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 8

Lazio – Parma

Score: Lazio 2, Parma 1

Stadio Olimpico (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 70,634. City: Rome. Opened: 1932. Surface: Grass.
Lazio

Match context is unavailable right now.

Our model favoured this result

Model vs result

We gave it 60%
Most likely scoreline was 1-0 · actual 2-1

Lazio
60%
Draws
24%
Parma
15%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 21Shots11
  • 6On target5
  • 1Big chances1
  • 1.67Total xG0.95

LazioxG and shot data: understat.comParma

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsLazio — 49'Parma — 94'1.670.95
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Lazio0.130.390.611.301.361.671.67
Parma0.650.820.820.820.910.940.95
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

LazioParma

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Mandas
Tavares
Šutalo
Provstgaard
Mussolini
Frattesi
1
Taylor
Belahyane
Zaccagni
Noslin
Isaksen
Corvi
Valeri
Carlos
Drobnic
Troilo
Prato
Ordóñez
Keita
Sierro
Touré
Romero
Lazio· 4-3-3Parma· 5-3-2

Head to Head

Lazio
10
Draws
2
Parma
1

13 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Lazio finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 2 – 1Wat Lazio2026/27
  2. 1 – 1Dat Lazio2025/26
  3. 0 – 1Wat Parma2025/26
  4. 2 – 2Dat Lazio2024/25
  5. 3 – 1Lat Parma2024/25
  6. 1 – 0Wat Lazio2020/21
  7. 0 – 2Wat Parma2020/21
  8. 0 – 1Wat Parma2019/20
  9. 2 – 0Wat Lazio2019/20
  10. 4 – 1Wat Lazio2018/19

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made