Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 20
Lazio – Bologna
Stadio Olimpico (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 70,634. City: Rome. Opened: 1932. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Lazio ↓ · Bologna → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.8% | Most Likely Result: 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (12.6%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.52 – 1.09
- Expected Points
- 1.66 – 1.07
- Both Teams to Score
- 52.3%
- Over 2.5
- 48.3%
- Under 2.5
- 51.7%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Lazio haven't lost to Bologna in their last 3 meetings (2W, 1D).
- This fixture has produced 30 cards in the last 5 meetings.
- Lazio have scored in 11 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Bologna have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Lazio
- 11
- Draws
- 7
- Bologna
- 5
23 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Lazio finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.