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 Week 13
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 13

Venezia – Bologna

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 11,150. City: Venice. Opened: 1913. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Venezia
20%
Draws
27%
Bologna
53%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Venezia ↓ · Bologna →0123456
09.7%Most Likely Result: 13.7%10.8%5.5%2.1%0.6%0.2%
17.5%12.5%9.2%4.7%1.8%0.5%0.1%
23.4%5.1%3.9%2.0%0.8%0.2%0.1%
31.0%1.5%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%0.0%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
0 - 1 (13.7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85 – 1.53
Expected Points
0.88 – 1.85
Both Teams to Score
45.3%
Over 2.5
42.4%
Under 2.5
57.6%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Venezia have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Bologna have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Venezia

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

Bologna

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Venezia
2
Draws
0
Bologna
2

4 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2024/25. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Venezia finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 1Lat Venezia2024/25
  2. 3 – 0Lat Bologna2024/25
  3. 4 – 3Wat Venezia2021/22
  4. 0 – 1Wat Bologna2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made