Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 11
Monza – Atalanta
U-Power Stadium (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 17,102. City: Monza. Opened: 1988. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Monza ↓ · Atalanta → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 9.8% | Most Likely Result: 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 2 (10.0%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.04 – 2.10
- Expected Points
- 0.74 – 2.04
- Both Teams to Score
- 57.2%
- Over 2.5
- 60.6%
- Under 2.5
- 39.4%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Atalanta have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Monza have scored in 10 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Monza
- 0
- Draws
- 0
- Atalanta
- 6
6 Serie A meetings, 2022/23 to 2024/25. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Monza finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.