Serie A 2026/27 · Week 6
Atalanta – Venezia
Score: Atalanta 3, Venezia 1
Atalanta
VeneziaMatch context
- Atalanta have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Atalanta have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Atalanta haven't lost to Venezia in their last 4 meetings (3W, 1D).
Model vs result
We gave it 74%
Most likely scoreline was 2-0 · actual 3-1
- Atalanta
- 74%
- Draws
- 17%
- Venezia
- 9%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match statistics
- 22Shots19
- 10On target5
- 4Big chances4
- 3.04Total xG2.69
AtalantaxG and shot data: understat.comVenezia
xG Trend
xG and shot data: understat.com
| Teams | 15' | 30' | 45' | 60' | 75' | 90' | Total xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 0.72 | 1.55 | 1.60 | 1.87 | 2.64 | 3.04 | 3.04 |
| Venezia | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.50 | 1.16 | 2.13 | 2.53 | 2.69 |
How to read the xG trend
Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.
Shot Map
xG and shot data: understat.com
AtalantaVenezia
GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG
How to read the shot map
Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.
Line-ups
xG and shot data: understat.com
Head to Head
- Atalanta
- 4
- Draws
- 1
- Venezia
- 0
5 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Atalanta finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.