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 Week 38
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 38

Como – Genoa

Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 13,602. City: Como. Opened: 1927. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Como
60%
Draws
24%
Genoa
15%
Challenge the Model

Predicted line-ups are unavailable right now.

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Como ↓ · Genoa →0123456
08.9%5.9%2.3%0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%
1Most Likely Result: 14.3%11.3%4.0%1.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
212.7%9.4%3.5%0.9%0.2%0.0%0.0%
37.3%5.4%2.0%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
43.1%2.3%0.9%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
51.1%0.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 0 (14.3%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72 – 0.74
Expected Points
2.05 – 0.70
Both Teams to Score
43.4%
Over 2.5
44.6%
Under 2.5
55.4%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Como have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Como haven't lost to Genoa in their last 5 meetings (3W, 2D).
  • Como have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Como

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. D

Genoa

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Como
3
Draws
2
Genoa
0

5 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Como finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 4Wat Genoa2026/27
  2. 0 – 2Wat Genoa2025/26
  3. 1 – 1Dat Como2025/26
  4. 1 – 0Wat Como2024/25
  5. 1 – 1Dat Genoa2024/25

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made