Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 36
Lazio – Udinese
Stadio Olimpico (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 70,634. City: Rome. Opened: 1932. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Lazio ↓ · Udinese → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | Most Likely Result: 11.6% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 10.7% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 0 (11.6%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.78 – 0.92
- Expected Points
- 1.96 – 0.80
- Both Teams to Score
- 50.4%
- Over 2.5
- 50.5%
- Under 2.5
- 49.5%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Lazio haven't lost to Udinese in their last 4 meetings (1W, 3D).
- Lazio have scored in 11 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Lazio
- 13
- Draws
- 8
- Udinese
- 4
25 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Lazio finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.