After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 3

Udinese – Lazio

Score: Udinese 1, Lazio 2

Stadio Friuli (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 25,144. City: Udine. Opened: 1976. Surface: Grass.
Udinese

Match context

  • Udinese have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • This fixture has produced 28 cards in the last 5 meetings.
  • Udinese haven't lost to Lazio in their last 5 meetings (2W, 3D).
Our model favoured this result

Model vs result

We gave it 44%
Most likely scoreline was 1-1 · actual 1-2

Udinese
28%
Draws
28%
Lazio
44%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 10Shots19
  • 6On target8
  • 1Big chances2
  • 0.80Total xG1.99

UdinesexG and shot data: understat.comLazio

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsUdinese — 48'Lazio — 74'Lazio — 87'0.801.99
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Udinese0.160.160.290.700.790.800.80
Lazio0.210.210.280.311.771.891.99
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

UdineseLazio

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Okoye
Ebosse
Abankwah
Solet
Kamara
Vojvoda
Piotrowski
1
Karlström
Ekkelenkamp
Gomez
Davis
Mandas
Tavares
Doekhi
Provstgaard
Mussolini
1
Frattesi
Taylor
Belahyane
Zaccagni
Pinamonti
Isaksen
Udinese· 3-4-2-1Lazio· 4-3-3

Head to Head

Udinese
4
Draws
8
Lazio
13

25 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Udinese finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 2Lat Udinese2026/27
  2. 3 – 3Dat Lazio2025/26
  3. 1 – 1Dat Udinese2025/26
  4. 1 – 1Dat Lazio2024/25
  5. 2 – 1Wat Udinese2024/25
  6. 1 – 2Wat Lazio2023/24
  7. 1 – 2Lat Udinese2023/24
  8. 0 – 1Lat Udinese2022/23
  9. 0 – 0Dat Lazio2022/23
  10. 1 – 1Dat Udinese2021/22

Highlights

Video: official Serie A YouTube channel

Not playing? Serie A restricts these videos by country.Watch on YouTube ↗

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made