After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 10

Udinese – Roma

Score: Udinese 2, Roma 5

Stadio Friuli (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 25,144. City: Udine. Opened: 1976. Surface: Grass.
Udinese

Match context

  • This fixture has produced 25 cards in the last 5 meetings.
  • Udinese have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Roma have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
Our model favoured this result

Model vs result

We gave it 55%
Most likely scoreline was 0-1 · actual 2-5

Udinese
20%
Draws
25%
Roma
55%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 15Shots14
  • 7On target11
  • 3Big chances6
  • 1.53Total xG3.23

UdinesexG and shot data: understat.comRoma

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsRoma — 9'Roma — 30'Roma — 32'Roma — 36'Udinese — 49'Udinese — 77'Roma — 91'1.533.23
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Udinese0.020.080.671.081.201.531.53
Roma0.061.842.782.792.792.913.23
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

UdineseRoma

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Okoye
Kabasele
Abankwah
1
Palma
Kamara
Vojvoda
Karlström
Miller
Ekkelenkamp
1
Zaniolo
Davis
Gollini
1
Ghilardi
1
Ndicka
Hermoso
Hoedt
Molina
1
Cristante
Roon
Malvano
1
Mora
1
Malen
Udinese· 3-4-2-1Roma· 3-4-2-1

Head to Head

Udinese
4
Draws
1
Roma
20

25 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Udinese finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 2 – 5Lat Udinese2026/27
  2. 1 – 0Wat Udinese2025/26
  3. 2 – 0Lat Roma2025/26
  4. 1 – 2Lat Udinese2024/25
  5. 3 – 0Lat Roma2024/25
  6. 1 – 2Lat Udinese2023/24
  7. 3 – 1Lat Roma2023/24
  8. 3 – 0Lat Roma2022/23
  9. 4 – 0Wat Udinese2022/23
  10. 1 – 1Dat Udinese2021/22

Highlights

Video: official Serie A YouTube channel

Not playing? Serie A restricts these videos by country.Watch on YouTube ↗

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made