Week 35
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 35

Torino – Bologna

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 28,177. City: Turin. Opened: 1933. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Torino
32%
Draws
28%
Bologna
40%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Torino ↓ · Bologna →0123456
09.1%10.8%7.3%3.2%1.0%0.3%0.1%
19.4%Most Likely Result: 13.4%8.4%3.6%1.2%0.3%0.1%
25.7%7.4%4.8%2.1%0.7%0.2%0.0%
32.2%2.8%1.8%0.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
50.1%0.2%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 1 (13.4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15 – 1.30
Expected Points
1.25 – 1.47
Both Teams to Score
50.2%
Over 2.5
44.3%
Under 2.5
55.7%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Bologna have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Torino

  1. D
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W

Bologna

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Torino
7
Draws
9
Bologna
7

23 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Torino finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 1Dat Bologna2026/27
  2. 1 – 2Lat Torino2025/26
  3. 0 – 0Dat Bologna2025/26
  4. 3 – 2Lat Bologna2024/25
  5. 0 – 2Lat Torino2024/25
  6. 0 – 0Dat Torino2023/24
  7. 2 – 0Lat Bologna2023/24
  8. 1 – 0Wat Torino2022/23
  9. 2 – 1Lat Bologna2022/23
  10. 0 – 0Dat Bologna2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made