Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 33
Inter – Bologna
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 75,923. City: Milan. Opened: 1926. Surface: Hybrid grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Inter ↓ · Bologna → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 9.5% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | Most Likely Result: 10.8% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 2 - 0 (10.8%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 2.17 – 0.92
- Expected Points
- 2.16 – 0.64
- Both Teams to Score
- 53.6%
- Over 2.5
- 59.4%
- Under 2.5
- 40.6%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Inter have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Inter haven't lost to Bologna in their last 3 meetings (2W, 1D).
- Inter have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Bologna have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Inter
- 13
- Draws
- 5
- Bologna
- 5
23 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Inter finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.