Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 31
Inter – Roma
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 75,923. City: Milan. Opened: 1926. Surface: Hybrid grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Inter ↓ · Roma → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.2% | Most Likely Result: 11.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (11.5%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.75 – 1.15
- Expected Points
- 1.77 – 0.98
- Both Teams to Score
- 56.9%
- Over 2.5
- 55.4%
- Under 2.5
- 44.6%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Roma have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Inter haven't lost to Roma in their last 3 meetings (2W, 1D).
- Inter have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Inter have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Inter
- 12
- Draws
- 8
- Roma
- 5
25 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Inter finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.