Sign inChallenge
 Week 31
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 31

Frosinone – Genoa

Stadio Benito Stirpe (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 16,227. City: Frosinone. Opened: 2017. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Frosinone
46%
Draws
25%
Genoa
29%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Frosinone ↓ · Genoa →0123456
06.0%6.6%4.4%1.8%0.6%0.1%0.0%
18.8%Most Likely Result: 11.9%7.2%3.0%0.9%0.2%0.0%
27.5%9.3%5.8%2.4%0.8%0.2%0.0%
34.1%5.1%3.2%1.3%0.4%0.1%0.0%
41.7%2.1%1.3%0.5%0.2%0.0%0.0%
50.5%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%
60.1%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 1 (11.9%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63 – 1.25
Expected Points
1.63 – 1.12
Both Teams to Score
57.8%
Over 2.5
54.9%
Under 2.5
45.1%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Frosinone haven't lost to Genoa in their last 4 meetings (1W, 3D).
  • Frosinone have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Frosinone

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. D
  5. W

Genoa

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Frosinone
1
Draws
4
Genoa
2

7 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Frosinone finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 1Dat Genoa2026/27
  2. 1 – 1Dat Genoa2023/24
  3. 2 – 1Wat Frosinone2023/24
  4. 0 – 0Dat Genoa2018/19
  5. 1 – 2Lat Frosinone2018/19
  6. 4 – 0Lat Genoa2015/16
  7. 2 – 2Dat Frosinone2015/16

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made