After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 4

Genoa – Frosinone

Score: Genoa 1, Frosinone 1

Stadio Luigi Ferraris (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 33,205. City: Genoa. Opened: 1911. Surface: Grass.
Genoa

Match context

  • This fixture has produced 26 cards in the last 5 meetings.
Our model did not favour this result

Model vs result

We gave it 27%
Most likely scoreline was 1-1 · exactly right

Genoa
43%
Draws
27%
Frosinone
31%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 17Shots26
  • 5On target6
  • 2Big chances1
  • 1.84Total xG1.77

GenoaxG and shot data: understat.comFrosinone

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsFrosinone — 13'Genoa — 49'1.841.77
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Genoa0.020.561.461.501.651.841.84
Frosinone0.370.370.440.831.041.441.77
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

GenoaFrosinone

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Bijlow
Marcandalli
1
Vásquez
Østigård
Ellertsson
Ehizibue
Sow
Frendrup
Baldanzi
Colombo
Osmajić
Palmisani
Bracaglia
Calvani
Cittadini
Oyono
Calò
Masini
1
Kvernadze
Schmid
Ghedjemis
Raimondo
Genoa· 3-5-2Frosinone· 4-2-3-1

Head to Head

Genoa
2
Draws
4
Frosinone
1

7 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Genoa finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 1 – 1Dat Genoa2026/27
  2. 1 – 1Dat Genoa2023/24
  3. 2 – 1Lat Frosinone2023/24
  4. 0 – 0Dat Genoa2018/19
  5. 1 – 2Wat Frosinone2018/19
  6. 4 – 0Wat Genoa2015/16
  7. 2 – 2Dat Frosinone2015/16

Highlights

Video: official Serie A YouTube channel

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How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made