Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 28
Venezia – Atalanta
Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 11,150. City: Venice. Opened: 1913. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Venezia ↓ · Atalanta → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8% | Most Likely Result: 12.1% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 0 - 1 (12.1%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 0.81 – 1.94
- Expected Points
- 0.66 – 2.12
- Both Teams to Score
- 47.7%
- Over 2.5
- 51.5%
- Under 2.5
- 48.5%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Atalanta have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Venezia have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Venezia
- 0
- Draws
- 1
- Atalanta
- 4
5 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Venezia finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.