Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 27
Udinese – Inter
Stadio Friuli (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 25,144. City: Udine. Opened: 1976. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Udinese ↓ · Inter → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7% | 9.6% | Most Likely Result: 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 0 - 2 (11.1%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 0.88 – 2.24
- Expected Points
- 0.59 – 2.22
- Both Teams to Score
- 52.7%
- Over 2.5
- 60.1%
- Under 2.5
- 39.9%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Udinese have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Inter have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Udinese
- 4
- Draws
- 2
- Inter
- 19
25 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Udinese finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.