After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 4

Inter – Udinese

Score: Inter 5, Udinese 3

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 75,923. City: Milan. Opened: 1926. Surface: Hybrid grass.
Inter

Match context

  • Inter have scored in 13 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Inter have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Our model favoured this result

Model vs result

We gave it 73%
Most likely scoreline was 2-0 · actual 5-3

Inter
73%
Draws
17%
Udinese
10%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 27Shots6
  • 12On target5
  • 7Big chances3
  • 4.12Total xG1.29

InterxG and shot data: understat.comUdinese

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsUdinese — 8'Udinese — 15'Inter — 25'Inter — 34'Inter — 56'Inter — 66'Inter — 78'Udinese — 90'4.121.29
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Inter0.971.061.472.473.074.124.12
Udinese0.920.920.920.920.921.291.29
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

InterUdinese

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Martínez
Bastoni
Stones
Akanji
1
Augusto
Diouf
Mkhitaryan
1
Barella
Zielinski
1
Esposito
1
Thuram-Ulien
Okoye
Kabasele
Ebosse
1
Abankwah
Kamara
Vojvoda
Karlström
Miller
1
Ekkelenkamp
Gomez
Davis
Inter· 3-5-2Udinese· 3-4-2-1

Head to Head

Inter
19
Draws
2
Udinese
4

25 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Inter finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 5 – 3Wat Inter2026/27
  2. 0 – 1Wat Udinese2025/26
  3. 1 – 2Lat Inter2025/26
  4. 2 – 1Wat Inter2024/25
  5. 2 – 3Wat Udinese2024/25
  6. 1 – 2Wat Udinese2023/24
  7. 4 – 0Wat Inter2023/24
  8. 3 – 1Wat Inter2022/23
  9. 3 – 1Lat Udinese2022/23
  10. 1 – 2Wat Udinese2021/22

Highlights

Video: official Serie A YouTube channel

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How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made