Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 26
Roma – Venezia
Stadio Olimpico (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 70,634. City: Rome. Opened: 1932. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Roma ↓ · Venezia → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | Most Likely Result: 14.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 2 - 0 (14.8%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 2.17 – 0.61
- Expected Points
- 2.37 – 0.45
- Both Teams to Score
- 40.5%
- Over 2.5
- 52.0%
- Under 2.5
- 48.0%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Roma have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- This fixture has produced 20 cards in the last 4 meetings.
- Roma haven't lost to Venezia in their last 3 meetings (2W, 1D).
- Roma have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Roma
- 2
- Draws
- 1
- Venezia
- 1
4 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2024/25. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Roma finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.