Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 26
Inter – Atalanta
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 75,923. City: Milan. Opened: 1926. Surface: Hybrid grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Inter ↓ · Atalanta → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.9% | Most Likely Result: 9.9% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (9.9%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 2.06 – 1.17
- Expected Points
- 1.94 – 0.84
- Both Teams to Score
- 60.4%
- Over 2.5
- 62.4%
- Under 2.5
- 37.6%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Atalanta have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- This fixture has produced 25 cards in the last 5 meetings.
- Inter haven't lost to Atalanta in their last 15 meetings (9W, 6D).
- Inter have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Inter have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Inter
- 14
- Draws
- 8
- Atalanta
- 2
24 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Inter finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.