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 Week 26
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 26

Cagliari – Udinese

Unipol Domus (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 16,416. City: Cagliari. Opened: 2017. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Cagliari
37%
Draws
28%
Udinese
35%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Cagliari ↓ · Udinese →0123456
09.0%9.9%6.3%2.5%0.8%0.2%0.0%
110.2%Most Likely Result: 13.4%7.8%3.2%1.0%0.2%0.0%
26.7%8.1%4.9%2.0%0.6%0.1%0.0%
32.8%3.4%2.0%0.8%0.2%0.1%0.0%
40.9%1.0%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
50.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 1 (13.4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25 – 1.21
Expected Points
1.38 – 1.33
Both Teams to Score
50.5%
Over 2.5
44.5%
Under 2.5
55.5%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Cagliari have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Cagliari

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L

Udinese

  1. L
  2. L
  3. D
  4. L
  5. L

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Cagliari
6
Draws
5
Udinese
10

21 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Cagliari finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 1Wat Udinese2026/27
  2. 0 – 2Lat Cagliari2025/26
  3. 1 – 1Dat Udinese2025/26
  4. 1 – 2Lat Cagliari2024/25
  5. 2 – 0Lat Udinese2024/25
  6. 1 – 1Dat Udinese2023/24
  7. 0 – 0Dat Cagliari2023/24
  8. 5 – 1Lat Udinese2021/22
  9. 0 – 4Lat Cagliari2021/22
  10. 0 – 1Wat Udinese2020/21

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made