After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 5

Udinese – Cagliari

Score: Udinese 0, Cagliari 1

Stadio Friuli (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 25,144. City: Udine. Opened: 1976. Surface: Grass.
Udinese

Match context

  • Udinese have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
  • Udinese haven't lost to Cagliari in their last 8 meetings (5W, 3D).
Our model did not favour this result

Model vs result

We gave it 28%
Most likely scoreline was 1-1 · actual 0-1

Udinese
44%
Draws
27%
Cagliari
28%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 26Shots5
  • 5On target2
  • 2Big chances1
  • 1.89Total xG0.64

UdinesexG and shot data: understat.comCagliari

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsCagliari — 53'1.890.64
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Udinese0.100.160.481.621.621.891.89
Cagliari0.020.050.050.470.640.640.64
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

UdineseCagliari

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Okoye
Kabasele
Ebosse
Abankwah
Kamara
Vojvoda
Karlström
Miller
Ekkelenkamp
Zaniolo
Davis
Caprile
Obert
Rodriguez
Mina
Figueiredo
Adopo
Deiola
Romano
Winks
1
Maldini
Mendy
Udinese· 3-4-2-1Cagliari· 5-3-2

Head to Head

Udinese
10
Draws
5
Cagliari
6

21 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Udinese finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 1Lat Udinese2026/27
  2. 0 – 2Wat Cagliari2025/26
  3. 1 – 1Dat Udinese2025/26
  4. 1 – 2Wat Cagliari2024/25
  5. 2 – 0Wat Udinese2024/25
  6. 1 – 1Dat Udinese2023/24
  7. 0 – 0Dat Cagliari2023/24
  8. 5 – 1Wat Udinese2021/22
  9. 0 – 4Wat Cagliari2021/22
  10. 0 – 1Lat Udinese2020/21

Highlights

Video: official Serie A YouTube channel

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How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made