Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 25
Udinese – Parma
Stadio Friuli (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 25,144. City: Udine. Opened: 1976. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Udinese ↓ · Parma → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.5% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.6% | Most Likely Result: 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.5%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.31 – 0.99
- Expected Points
- 1.59 – 1.12
- Both Teams to Score
- 46.4%
- Over 2.5
- 40.3%
- Under 2.5
- 59.7%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Udinese have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- This fixture has produced 26 cards in the last 5 meetings.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Udinese
- 5
- Draws
- 3
- Parma
- 5
13 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Udinese finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.