Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 24
Bologna – Como
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 36,462. City: Bologna. Opened: 1927. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Bologna ↓ · Como → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.5% | Most Likely Result: 13.1% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.1%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.08 – 1.41
- Expected Points
- 1.12 – 1.60
- Both Teams to Score
- 50.3%
- Over 2.5
- 45.2%
- Under 2.5
- 54.8%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- This fixture has produced 25 cards in the last 4 meetings.
- Bologna have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Bologna haven't lost to Como in their last 4 meetings (2W, 2D).
- Como have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Bologna have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Bologna
- 2
- Draws
- 2
- Como
- 0
4 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Bologna finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.