Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 23
Roma – Torino
Stadio Olimpico (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 70,634. City: Rome. Opened: 1932. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Roma ↓ · Torino → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | Most Likely Result: 12.5% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 0 (12.5%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.84 – 0.82
- Expected Points
- 2.06 – 0.70
- Both Teams to Score
- 47.4%
- Over 2.5
- 49.6%
- Under 2.5
- 50.4%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Roma have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Roma have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Roma
- 17
- Draws
- 4
- Torino
- 4
25 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Roma finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.