After the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 4

Torino – Roma

Score: Torino 0, Roma 2

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 28,177. City: Turin. Opened: 1933. Surface: Grass.
Torino

Match context

  • Torino have scored in 6 consecutive Serie A matches.
  • Roma have scored in 18 consecutive Serie A matches.
Our model favoured this result

Model vs result

We gave it 52%
Most likely scoreline was 0-1 · actual 0-2

Torino
22%
Draws
26%
Roma
52%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

  • 7Shots14
  • 3On target5
  • 0Big chances3
  • 0.71Total xG2.42

TorinoxG and shot data: understat.comRoma

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goalsRoma — 39'Roma — 92'0.712.42
Cumulative expected goals over time
Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams15'30'45'60'75'90'Total xG
Torino0.000.020.060.330.670.670.71
Roma0.620.701.952.032.252.372.43
How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Football pitch
Shot locations for this match

TorinoRoma

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.

Line-ups

xG and shot data: understat.com

Perri
Fortini
Cömert
Comuzzo
Coco
Belghali
Gineitis
Fitz-Jim
Mandragora
Simeone
Vlašić
Svilar
Mancini
Balerdi
Hermoso
Molina
Lulli
Cristante
1
Pisilli
Malvano
Dybala
1
Malen
Torino· 5-3-2Roma· 3-4-2-1

Head to Head

Torino
4
Draws
4
Roma
17

25 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Torino finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 2Lat Torino2026/27
  2. 0 – 2Lat Torino2025/26
  3. 0 – 1Wat Roma2025/26
  4. 0 – 2Lat Torino2024/25
  5. 1 – 0Lat Roma2024/25
  6. 3 – 2Lat Roma2023/24
  7. 1 – 1Dat Torino2023/24
  8. 0 – 1Lat Torino2022/23
  9. 1 – 1Dat Roma2022/23
  10. 0 – 3Lat Torino2021/22

Highlights

Video: official Serie A YouTube channel

Not playing? Serie A restricts these videos by country.Watch on YouTube ↗

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made