Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 21
Monza – Lazio
U-Power Stadium (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 17,102. City: Monza. Opened: 1988. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Monza ↓ · Lazio → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.4% | Most Likely Result: 11.1% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (11.1%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.00 – 1.85
- Expected Points
- 0.83 – 1.94
- Both Teams to Score
- 53.6%
- Over 2.5
- 54.0%
- Under 2.5
- 46.0%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- This fixture has produced 26 cards in the last 5 meetings.
- Monza have scored in 10 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Lazio have scored in 11 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Monza
- 0
- Draws
- 2
- Lazio
- 5
7 Serie A meetings, 2022/23 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Monza finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.