Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 19
Parma – Venezia
Stadio Ennio Tardini (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 22,352. City: Parma. Opened: 1923. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Parma ↓ · Venezia → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13.1% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | Most Likely Result: 14.9% | 13.6% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 9.4% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 0 (14.9%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.22 – 0.85
- Expected Points
- 1.63 – 1.06
- Both Teams to Score
- 40.9%
- Over 2.5
- 34.3%
- Under 2.5
- 65.7%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Parma have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Parma
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Venezia
- 0
2 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2024/25. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Parma finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.