Week 18
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 18

Venezia – Roma

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 11,150. City: Venice. Opened: 1913. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Venezia
12%
Draws
22%
Roma
66%
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Predicted line-ups are unavailable right now.

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Venezia ↓ · Roma →0123456
07.8%Most Likely Result: 13.9%13.6%8.7%4.1%1.6%0.5%
14.8%10.2%9.4%6.0%2.8%1.1%0.3%
21.8%3.4%3.2%2.0%1.0%0.4%0.1%
30.4%0.8%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%
40.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
0 - 1 (13.9%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69 – 1.91
Expected Points
0.59 – 2.20
Both Teams to Score
42.7%
Over 2.5
47.9%
Under 2.5
52.1%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context is unavailable right now.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Venezia

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W

Roma

  1. W
  2. W
  3. W
  4. D
  5. W

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Venezia
1
Draws
1
Roma
2

4 Serie A meetings, 2021/22 to 2024/25. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Venezia finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 1Lat Venezia2024/25
  2. 2 – 1Lat Roma2024/25
  3. 1 – 1Dat Roma2021/22
  4. 3 – 2Wat Venezia2021/22

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made