Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 18
Frosinone – Bologna
Stadio Benito Stirpe (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 16,227. City: Frosinone. Opened: 2017. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Frosinone ↓ · Bologna → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.4% | Most Likely Result: 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (11.2%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.52 – 1.60
- Expected Points
- 1.32 – 1.43
- Both Teams to Score
- 62.6%
- Over 2.5
- 60.1%
- Under 2.5
- 39.9%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- This fixture has produced 27 cards in the last 5 meetings.
- Frosinone have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Bologna have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Frosinone
- 2
- Draws
- 2
- Bologna
- 2
6 Serie A meetings, 2015/16 to 2023/24. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Frosinone finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.