Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 17
Udinese – Atalanta
Stadio Friuli (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 25,144. City: Udine. Opened: 1976. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Udinese ↓ · Atalanta → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.8% | Most Likely Result: 11.4% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (11.4%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.09 – 1.78
- Expected Points
- 0.92 – 1.84
- Both Teams to Score
- 55.6%
- Over 2.5
- 54.7%
- Under 2.5
- 45.3%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Atalanta have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Udinese haven't lost to Atalanta in their last 3 meetings (1W, 2D).
- Udinese have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Udinese
- 5
- Draws
- 10
- Atalanta
- 9
24 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Udinese finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.