Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 16
Venezia – Monza
Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 11,150. City: Venice. Opened: 1913. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Venezia ↓ · Monza → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.5% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.1% | Most Likely Result: 13.5% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.5%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.17 – 1.23
- Expected Points
- 1.31 – 1.40
- Both Teams to Score
- 49.5%
- Over 2.5
- 43.2%
- Under 2.5
- 56.8%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Venezia have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- This fixture has produced 16 cards in the last 2 meetings.
- Monza have scored in 10 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Venezia
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Monza
- 0
2 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2024/25. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Venezia finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.