Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 16
Genoa – Udinese
Stadio Luigi Ferraris (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 33,205. City: Genoa. Opened: 1911. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Genoa ↓ · Udinese → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.1% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.6% | Most Likely Result: 13.6% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.6%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.25 – 1.09
- Expected Points
- 1.47 – 1.24
- Both Teams to Score
- 47.8%
- Over 2.5
- 41.4%
- Under 2.5
- 58.6%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Genoa
- 6
- Draws
- 9
- Udinese
- 7
22 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Genoa finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.