Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 13
Inter – Genoa
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 75,923. City: Milan. Opened: 1926. Surface: Hybrid grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Inter ↓ · Genoa → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | Most Likely Result: 13.0% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 10.1% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 2 - 0 (13.0%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 2.34 – 0.72
- Expected Points
- 2.36 – 0.46
- Both Teams to Score
- 46.6%
- Over 2.5
- 58.5%
- Under 2.5
- 41.5%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Inter haven't lost to Genoa in their last 14 meetings (11W, 3D).
- Inter have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Inter have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Inter
- 15
- Draws
- 3
- Genoa
- 4
22 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Inter finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.