Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 13
Cagliari – Milan
Unipol Domus (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 16,416. City: Cagliari. Opened: 2017. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Cagliari ↓ · Milan → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.0% | Most Likely Result: 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (11.6%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 0.93 – 1.75
- Expected Points
- 0.83 – 1.93
- Both Teams to Score
- 50.5%
- Over 2.5
- 50.2%
- Under 2.5
- 49.8%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Cagliari have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Milan have scored in 13 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Cagliari
- 2
- Draws
- 5
- Milan
- 13
20 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Cagliari finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.