Sassuolo – Milan

Score: Sassuolo 1, Milan 1

dom 11 ott, 18:00

Mapei Stadium - Città del TricoloreCapacity21,525CityReggio EmiliaOpened1995SurfaceGrass

Sassuolo

Milan

Match context

Sassuolo have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
This fixture has produced 29 cards in the last 5 meetings.
Sassuolo haven't lost to Milan in their last 3 meetings (1W, 2D).
Milan have scored in 8 consecutive Serie A matches.
Sassuolo have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.

Our model did not favour this result

Model vs result

We gave it 24%
Most likely scoreline was 1-1 · exactly right

Sassuolo: 24%
Draws: 24%
Milan: 52%

Limits of the forecast

Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match statistics

10Shots11
4On target6
2Big chances3
1.34Total xG1.87

SassuoloxG and shot data: understat.comMilan

xG Trend

xG and shot data: understat.com

Cumulative expected goals over time

Cumulative expected goals over time
Teams	15'	30'	45'	60'	75'	90'	Total xG
Sassuolo	0.03	0.08	0.08	0.12	1.24	1.24	1.34
Milan	0.06	0.16	1.28	1.48	1.87	1.87	1.87

How to read the xG trend

Expected goals added up as the match went on. The line steps up when a team shoots, and the size of the step is how good the chance was. A team that climbs in one jump had a single clear opening; a staircase means many small ones. Dots mark goals.

Shot Map

xG and shot data: understat.com

Shot locations for this match

SassuoloMilan

GoalOn targetOff targetMarker size is xG

How to read the shot map

Every shot in the match, placed where it was struck. Each team attacks the goal on its own side. A marker's area is its xG — the chance an average player scores from there. Filled means it hit the target, a white ring means it went in. Tap or hover a shot for the detail.