Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 37
Roma – Como
Stadio Olimpico (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 70,634. City: Rome. Opened: 1932. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Roma ↓ · Como → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.7% | Most Likely Result: 13.2% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (13.2%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.34 – 1.14
- Expected Points
- 1.51 – 1.22
- Both Teams to Score
- 50.8%
- Over 2.5
- 45.2%
- Under 2.5
- 54.8%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Roma have kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Como have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Roma have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.
- This fixture has produced 35 cards in the last 5 meetings.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Roma
- 2
- Draws
- 1
- Como
- 2
5 Serie A meetings, 2024/25 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Roma finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.