Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 37
Parma – Juventus
Stadio Ennio Tardini (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 22,352. City: Parma. Opened: 1923. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Parma ↓ · Juventus → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.9% | Most Likely Result: 15.8% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 0 - 1 (15.8%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 0.71 – 1.54
- Expected Points
- 0.76 – 1.97
- Both Teams to Score
- 40.3%
- Over 2.5
- 39.1%
- Under 2.5
- 60.9%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- This fixture has produced 5 cards in the last meeting.
- Parma have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Juventus have scored in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Parma
- 2
- Draws
- 2
- Juventus
- 9
13 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Parma finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.