Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 37
Inter – Lazio
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 75,923. City: Milan. Opened: 1926. Surface: Hybrid grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Inter ↓ · Lazio → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.5% | Most Likely Result: 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 9.7% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (10.5%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.97 – 1.03
- Expected Points
- 1.99 – 0.79
- Both Teams to Score
- 55.6%
- Over 2.5
- 57.4%
- Under 2.5
- 42.6%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Inter haven't lost to Lazio in their last 7 meetings (5W, 2D).
- Inter have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Lazio have scored in 11 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Inter have scored in 20 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Inter
- 13
- Draws
- 5
- Lazio
- 6
24 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2025/26. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Inter finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.