Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 35
Napoli – Monza
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 54,726. City: Naples. Opened: 1959. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Napoli ↓ · Monza → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | Most Likely Result: 12.5% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 9.6% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 2 - 0 (12.5%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 2.29 – 0.76
- Expected Points
- 2.32 – 0.50
- Both Teams to Score
- 48.1%
- Over 2.5
- 58.4%
- Under 2.5
- 41.6%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Match context
- Napoli haven't lost to Monza in their last 5 meetings (4W, 1D).
- Napoli have scored in 9 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Napoli have kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
- Monza have scored in 10 consecutive Serie A matches.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Napoli
- 5
- Draws
- 1
- Monza
- 1
7 Serie A meetings, 2022/23 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Napoli finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.