Week 34
Before the match

Serie A 2026/27 · Week 34

Torino – Parma

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 28,177. City: Turin. Opened: 1933. Surface: Grass.

Pre-Match Forecast

Torino
45%
Draws
29%
Parma
26%
Challenge the Model

Exact Scoreline Probabilities

Likelihood of each final scoreline, from the model's Poisson grid.
Torino ↓ · Parma →0123456
011.3%9.5%4.6%1.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%
1Most Likely Result: 13.7%13.4%5.9%1.8%0.4%0.1%0.0%
29.2%8.5%3.9%1.2%0.3%0.0%0.0%
34.0%3.7%1.7%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
41.3%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.3%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.1%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Most Likely Result
1 - 0 (13.7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31 – 0.92
Expected Points
1.64 – 1.06
Both Teams to Score
44.2%
Over 2.5
38.3%
Under 2.5
61.7%

Limits of the forecast

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

Match context

  • Torino have scored in 5 consecutive Serie A matches.

Recent form

Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.

Torino

  1. D
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W

Parma

  1. L
  2. W
  3. D
  4. L
  5. L

WwinDdrawLdefeat

Head to Head

Torino
6
Draws
4
Parma
3

13 Serie A meetings, 2014/15 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.

The letter on each result is how Torino finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat

  1. 0 – 3Wat Parma2026/27
  2. 4 – 1Wat Torino2025/26
  3. 2 – 1Lat Parma2025/26
  4. 2 – 2Dat Parma2024/25
  5. 0 – 0Dat Torino2024/25
  6. 1 – 0Wat Torino2020/21
  7. 0 – 3Wat Parma2020/21
  8. 1 – 1Dat Torino2019/20
  9. 3 – 2Lat Parma2019/20
  10. 0 – 0Dat Parma2018/19

How the model works

How this is calculated

Fitted on

Limits

  • Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
  • Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.

How a prediction is made