Before the match
Serie A 2026/27 · Week 34
Lecce – Cagliari
Stadio Via del Mare (on Google Maps, opens in a new tab)Capacity: 31,533. City: Lecce. Opened: 1966. Surface: Grass.
Exact Scoreline Probabilities
| Lecce ↓ · Cagliari → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.6% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.7% | Most Likely Result: 14.0% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
- Most Likely Result
- 1 - 1 (14.0%)
- Expected Goals (xG)
- 1.00 – 1.11
- Expected Points
- 1.27 – 1.42
- Both Teams to Score
- 42.9%
- Over 2.5
- 35.3%
- Under 2.5
- 64.7%
Limits of the forecast
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.
Recent form
Last five Serie A matches, most recent first.
WwinDdrawLdefeat
Head to Head
- Lecce
- 2
- Draws
- 4
- Cagliari
- 3
9 Serie A meetings, 2019/20 to 2026/27. The ten most recent are listed.
The letter on each result is how Lecce finished it:WwinDdrawLdefeat
How the model works
How this is calculated
Fitted on
Limits
- Goals-only model: injuries, suspensions and lineups are not modelled.
- Promoted clubs with no Serie A history are excluded.